Causal and Bayesian Methods

NINA Summer School, Mustiala, Finland

The Bayesian Bit

August 2007

 

This part of the course will cover the basic ideas behind Bayesian analysis, what it is and how it is carried out. Applications, largely related to evolutionary biology and ecology will also be discussed.

Details

These are the lectures and practicals, as pdfs or BUGS files.

• Monday, morning.
  • Probability Introduction
  • Exercises I
  • What is Probability?
• Monday, afternoon.
  • Bayesian Analysis I
  • Exercises II
• Tuesday, morning
  • Multiple Parameters
  • Graphical Models
  • Line (BUGS file)
  • MCMC
• Tuesday, afternoon
  • Generalized Linear Models
  • Pump (BUGS file)
  • Salm (BUGS file)
  • MCMC 2
• Wednesday, morning
  • Hierarchical Models
  • Dyes (BUGS file)
  • Rats (BUGS file)
• Wednesday, afternoon
  • DIC
  • Beetles (BUGS file)
  • Epil (BUGS file)
  • BUGS data formats
  • More Rats (BUGS file)
• Thursday, morning
  • Missing Data and Prediction
  • Line: missing data (BUGS file)
  • Surgical (BUGS file)
  • Hepatitis (BUGS file)
• Thursday, afternoon
  • Phylogenetics and Coalescence
  • Dugongs (BUGS file)
  • Mixture Distributions
  • Specie Diversity (BUGS file)
• Friday, morning
  • Pekan (BUGS file)
  • The End
• Extras
  • Indexing in BUGS
  • Priors
  • SEM: Fig3.1 example (BUGS file)
  • SEM: string example (BUGS file)